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Jun 9, 2022Liked by Virginia Postrel

But there is no indexing for capital gains. If you bought an asset for $100,000 30 years ago you would have to sell it for $210,000 today to break even. But you owe capital "gains" tax on $110,000 "gain"!!

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Not indexing the exemption for home sales also has a deterrent effect on sales of California single-family homes. https://vpostrel.com/articles/these-tax-laws-are-holding-back-californias-housing-market

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Which is why the Left loves the idea of imputed income: We'll tax you based on that 110k even though you haven't sold the asset.

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Born in 1965, so yeah I remember this.

Since the bracket indexing depends on the index, and we know the government is fiddling with what's in the index, I suspect that the brackets will fall behind (possibly not as much as they did then).

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Jun 15, 2022·edited Jun 15, 2022Author

The "fiddling with the index" that has occurred over the past few decades was more than justified. Too many goods were showing significant quality improvements without accompanying price increases. Inflation was lower than it would have appeared if the index had been unchanged and, I believe, significantly lower than it appeared even after the "hedonic" revisions. (Here's a column I wrote explaining this: https://vpostrel.com/articles/how-changing-the-sheets-can-make-a-hotel-room-new)

What's now happening is the opposite, best known as "shrinkflation," which is relatively easy to account for because there's less in a package, but also showing up in hard to measure declines in service quality. So inflation is likely higher than the indices suggest--but not because the changes that began with the Boskin Report weren't justified.

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My older brother bought his first house in the early 80s and the interest rate was 12.5%. He was just grousing to me about it because I bought a house in Spain and the interest rate is 1.5%.

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Of course we still face bracket creep. The 'official' inflation number is 8.6%. The current ShadowStats number, which uses the 1980 methodology, is at 16.8%. Trust me, the difference is bracket creep.

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The first car I bought myself was a Ford Escort in fall 1981. It cost around $6,000. My interest rate was 17.8 percent. The car I have now, a Mazda 2, cost around $13,000 in 2011 but with no interest. If things continue the way they’re going, I’m afraid that next time there will be no offset.

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